Freakonomics Summary
These may not sound like typical questions for an economist to ask. But
Steven D. Levitt is not a typical economist. He is a much heralded scholar
who studies the stuff and riddles of everyday life -- from cheating and
crime to sports and child rearing -- and whose conclusions regularly turn
the conventional wisdom on its head. He usually begins with a mountain of
data and a simple, unasked question. Some of these questions concern
life-and-death issues; others have an admittedly freakish quality. Thus the
new field of study contained in this book: freakonomics. One example of the authors' use of economic theory involves
demonstrating the existence of cheating among sumo wrestlers. In a sumo
tournament, all wrestlers in the top division compete in 15 matches and
face demotion if they do not win at least eight of them. The sumo
community is very close-knit, and the wrestlers at the top levels tend
to know each other well. The authors looked at the final match, and
considered the case of a wrestler with seven wins, seven losses, and one
fight to go, fighting against an 8-6 wrestler. Statistically, the 7-7
wrestler should have a slightly below even chance, since the 8-6
wrestler is slightly better. However, the 7-7 wrestler actually wins
around 80% of the time. Levitt uses this statistic and other data
gleaned from sumo wrestling matches, along with the effect that
allegations of corruption have on match results, to conclude that those
who already have 8 wins collude
with those who are 7-7 and let them win, since they have already
secured their position for the following tournament. Despite round
condemnation of the claims by the Japan Sumo Association
following the book's publication in 2005, the 2011 Grand tournament in
Tokyo was cancelled for the first time since 1946 because of allegations
of match fixing
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